{"id":2939,"date":"1986-02-02T11:03:00","date_gmt":"1986-02-02T09:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/?p=2939"},"modified":"2025-07-01T09:41:03","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T07:41:03","slug":"episode-11-1-february-1986","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/episode-11-1-february-1986\/","title":{"rendered":"Episode 11, 1 February 1986"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"2939\" class=\"elementor elementor-2939\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2cb2d4e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2cb2d4e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6d2abc7\" data-id=\"6d2abc7\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8b25579 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8b25579\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Episode 11, 1 February 1986<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-a1bcd74 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"a1bcd74\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-fe1cdfe\" data-id=\"fe1cdfe\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-396a8c0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"396a8c0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Analysis<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-56ff24f elementor-widget elementor-widget-video\" data-id=\"56ff24f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;youtube_url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/youtu.be\\\/XolovWPQ3YM&quot;,&quot;video_type&quot;:&quot;youtube&quot;,&quot;controls&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"video.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-wrapper elementor-open-inline\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-video\"><\/div>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2286ca5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2286ca5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Description<\/b><\/p><p><b><br><\/b><\/p>\n<p><u>Meteorological background<\/u><\/p>\n<p>On 30 January, a cyclone developed in the western Mediterranean as part of a larger system centered over the Bay of Biscay, with air pressure dropping to 975 hPa in the centre. As this cyclone moved toward the Gulf of Lion, southeast winds over the Adriatic strengthened, turning easterly in some northern areas. By 31 January, as the cyclone advanced toward the Gulf of Genoa and then northward, the winds intensified to strong and gale force. By the night of 1 February, the winds gradually weakened and shifted to the southwest.<\/p>\n<p><u><br><\/u><\/p><p><u>Sea-level evolution<\/u><\/p>\n<p>On 1 February 1986, at 00:00 UTC, the sea level in Bakar rose to 95 cm above the long-term average. This peak coincided with the daily <i>tidal <\/i>maximum, which contributed 21 cm to the overall sea level. <i>Synoptic component<\/i> was extraordinary, peaking at 56 cm just an hour after the overall maximum. The absence of 21.2-hour oscillations in the residual series indicates that <i>synoptic component<\/i> was primarily driven by a storm surge, contributing 54 cm to the flood.<br>Additional contributions to the sea-level rise came from processes acting on different time scales (see Figure 1 in the Introduction for detailed explanations): <i>high-frequency oscillations&nbsp;<\/i>contributed 4 cm,<i>&nbsp;planetary-scale variability<\/i> added 6 cm, and <i>long-term sea-level change<\/i>&nbsp;added 10 cm.<\/p>\n<p><br><\/p><p>In summary, the flood resulted from an exceptionally high storm surge superimposed on positive contributions from other processes.<strong><br><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4beb9a2 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4beb9a2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Newspaper reports<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c07b20e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"c07b20e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Here are excerpts from reports about the flood from <strong><em>Novi list<\/em><\/strong> and <strong><em>Slobodna Dalmacija<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-980fd42 elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"980fd42\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-09c5a6e\" data-id=\"09c5a6e\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8d1f8c3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"8d1f8c3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/surge.stefandunic.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/SD_1986_Feb_01_ID11.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"Slobodna Dalmacija, 3 February 1986\" data-e-action-hash=\"#elementor-action%3Aaction%3Dlightbox%26settings%3DeyJpZCI6MzI5OCwidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6XC9cL3Byb2pla3RpLnBtZnN0LnVuaXN0LmhyXC9mbG9vZHNcL3N0b3JtLXN1cmdlc1wvd3AtY29udGVudFwvdXBsb2Fkc1wvMTk4NlwvMDJcL1NEXzE5ODZfRmViXzAxX0lEMTEuanBnIn0%3D\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"417\" height=\"1115\" src=\"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/SD_1986_Feb_01_ID11.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-3298\" alt=\"Slobodna Dalmacija, 3 February 1986\" srcset=\"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/SD_1986_Feb_01_ID11.jpg 417w, https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/SD_1986_Feb_01_ID11-112x300.jpg 112w, https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/SD_1986_Feb_01_ID11-383x1024.jpg 383w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 417px) 100vw, 417px\" style=\"width:100%;height:267.39%;max-width:417px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Slobodna Dalmacija, 3 February 1986<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-d022fea\" data-id=\"d022fea\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e2cf6d7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e2cf6d7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Vis three days without ferry\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p><p><em>This afternoon, with the arrival of the ferry &#8220;Vis&#8221; in the port of Vis, ferry traffic between the island and the mainland finally returned to normal after an interruption of almost three days. The Sirocco wind had stirred up the Vis Channel, which once again showed its bad temper and made the ferry connection with the mainland impossible. During this time, the island was without newspapers and some food, and travelers were unable to leave the island.<\/em><\/p><p><em>The inhabitants of Vis can hardly remember the last time the island&#8217;s sea connection with the mainland was interrupted for so long. In fact, it was believed that the establishment of the &#8220;Vis&#8221; ferry on the route between the mainland and the island more than ten years ago would finally defeat the vicious Vis Channel. However, it seems that it has once again, for the umpteenth time, confirmed what generations of Vis inhabitants have known for centuries.<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-9da783e elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9da783e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-b5042f6\" data-id=\"b5042f6\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7688f4b elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"7688f4b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figure class=\"wp-caption\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/surge.stefandunic.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11.jpg\" data-elementor-open-lightbox=\"yes\" data-elementor-lightbox-title=\"Novi list, 3 February 1986\" data-e-action-hash=\"#elementor-action%3Aaction%3Dlightbox%26settings%3DeyJpZCI6MzI5OSwidXJsIjoiaHR0cHM6XC9cL3Byb2pla3RpLnBtZnN0LnVuaXN0LmhyXC9mbG9vZHNcL3N0b3JtLXN1cmdlc1wvd3AtY29udGVudFwvdXBsb2Fkc1wvMTk4NlwvMDJcL05MXzE5ODZfRmViXzAxX0lEMTEuanBnIn0%3D\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"750\" height=\"984\" src=\"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11-768x1008.jpg\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-3299\" alt=\"Novi list, 3 February 1986\" srcset=\"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11-768x1008.jpg 768w, https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11-229x300.jpg 229w, https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11-780x1024.jpg 780w, https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-content\/uploads\/1986\/02\/NL_1986_Feb_01_ID11.jpg 852w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" style=\"width:100%;height:131.22%;max-width:852px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<figcaption class=\"widget-image-caption wp-caption-text\">Novi list, 3 February 1986<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-6a7fc75\" data-id=\"6a7fc75\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f34297d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f34297d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>FURY OF THE SIROCCO WIND<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>Sunken boats<\/strong><\/p><p><em>PULA &#8211; The heavy storm that has swept over the Pula area twice in recent days has caused considerable material damage to public and private property. Many boats were sunk in harbors or torn from their moorings. In Fa\u017eana, a heavy storm caused considerable material damage to the &#8220;Arenaturist&#8221; restaurant &#8220;Fa\u017eana&#8221;, where vases in front of the restaurant were destroyed and the door was also damaged. In the \u0160ijana district, many blinds were destroyed on some buildings and many window panes were broken.<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sea-level series for the flood of 1 February 1986: measured (black), tide (green), combined long-period component and mean sea-level changes (grey), synoptic component (purple), and local processes (blue). The inset figure shows the contributions (cm) of the five sea-level components to the maximum measured sea level.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4429,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-storm-surge","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2939"}],"version-history":[{"count":30,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2939\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4646,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2939\/revisions\/4646"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4429"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projekti.pmfst.unist.hr\/floods\/storm-surges\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}